Structured Evidential Argumentation System


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SEAS is a software tool developed for intelligence analysts

That records analytic reasoning and methods

That supports collaborative analysis

Across contemporary and historical situations and analysts

and has broad applicability beyond intelligence analysis

Approach

The survival of an enterprise often rests upon its ability to make correct and timely decisions, despite the complexity and uncertainty of the environment. Because of the difficulty of employing formal methods in this context, decision makers typically resort to informal methods, sacrificing structure and rigor. We have developed a new methodology that retains the ease-of-use, familiarity, and (some of) the free-form nature of informal methods, while benefiting from the rigor, structure, and potential for automation characteristic of formal methods. Our approach aims to foster thoughtful and timely analysis through the introduction of structure, and collaboration through access to the corporate memory of current and past analytic results.

Structured Argumentation

Collective Reasoning

Corporate Memory

Applications

Good candidate applications for SEAS are assessment tasks characterized by the following:

SEAS argument templates have been developed for a wide range of applications including the following:

National Defense Applications
Commercial Applications
  • Nation-State Stability Assessment
  • Asymmetric Threat Assessment
  • Assessment of Terrorist Motives
  • Mission Information Preparation
  • Counter Intelligence Assessment
  • Network System Analysis
  • Infrastructure Vulnerability Assessment
  • Project Management
  • Executive Dashboard
  • Competitor Intelligence
  • Fraud Detection
  • Human Resources Grade Assessment
  • Applicant Evaluation
  • Technical Intelligence

Benefits

Faster
Better
Cheaper
  • Understanding lines-of-reasoning
    • by decision makers
    • by analysts
  • Creating new assessments
    • Individually
    • In collaboration (division of labor)
  • Learning of analytic methods by novices
  • Finding relevant analyses (arguments) and methods (templates) used in the past
  • Understanding the relationship of the new analysis to the old
  • Promotes use of best practice (templates) and superior results (arguments)
  • Encourages
    • Critical review by others
    • Leveraging other analyst's products (arguments) as supporting evidence
    • Coauthoring (each doing what they do best)
  • Results are more easily and completely assimilated by decision makers
    • at the level of detail desired
  • Captures corporate knowledge and facilitates reuse; no need to reinvent
  • Asynchronous remote collaboration; fewer meetings
  • Provided as service across current browser clients with no system integration costs
  • Better prioritization of risk leads to better utilization of resources

SEAS, High SEAS, Structured Evidential Argumentation System, and SRI Early Alert System, are trademarks of SRI International.
Copyright © 2000-2008 SRI International, 333 Ravenswood Ave., Menlo Park, CA 94025 USA. All rights reserved.
Patent Pending and Unpublished Copyright © 1998-2008, SRI International.